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Resistance Report — 19 Apr 2024

How Iran’s counterstrike evaded Israel’s missile defense, with Jon Elmer

Jon Elmer takes a look at the Iranian missile counterstrike against Israel.

Nora Barrows-Friedman, Asa Winstanley, Ali Abunimah and Jon Elmer of The Electronic Intifada were joined by tech innovator and founder Paul Biggar, and Aseel Mousa, a long-time contributor to The Electronic Intifada from Gaza, now in Cairo, on the day 194 livestream. You can watch the entire broadcast here: https://youtube.com/live/GCdl5F2zki0

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Full transcript
uh we did a show on Sunday about the uh Iranian missile attack on Saturday night um in Palestine uh operation true promise which was an unprecedented the first time that Iran has struck uh Israel from its territory to Israeli territory directly not using allies um to carry out this attack it was a response operation true promise is what the Iranians called it and it's a true promise to respond to the Israeli assassination of the two igrc IG the two KS Force generals Iranian generals that were assassinated in Damascus in the Consulate in Damascus on April 1st and so the key attributes that we talked about on Sunday about this operation were um that it was telegraphed so there was two weeks preparation um the Americans were able to um reposition their forces um they were able to set up an alliance that included uh the UK France Jordan Saudi Arabia Israel and the United States um and the Iranian attack um even was announced before it was launched uh Iranian State television said that the operation will be will begin soon um so we had a lot of warning for this and Iran said that the um the missile attack was um part of their uh part of article 51 of the UN Charter the the right of self-defense um and it's also the assassination um on the Consulate in Damascus is seen as Iranian territory so Iran responded um with an attack on Israel so let's take a look at some of these images here because the the attack began um by clearing airspace and so this was there was a lot of Firsts in this uh missile attack operation but this is one of the first um uh tests that we've seen of the attempt to drop to use electronic warfare to drop the GPS and gns the Russian uh GPS signal um that these that the Iranian missiles and drones work on um and so we can see here this is flight tracker footage of showing um essentially a corridor from Iran to Israel completely uh planes were completely grounded and this is part of the electronic warfare test um that we had never seen before on this scale and people in the Middle East are still talking about um GPS um being messed up in the Middle East planes um planes are complaining about it because their navigation systems aren't working um people's uh cell phones all say that they're at bayroot airport um people in Middle Eastern countries are getting um Israeli uh dating apps like switching their location uh of their dating apps and getting Israeli uh positions and uh a lot of these um GPS spoofing that the Israelis are using are channeled through bases in Israel so it's obvious um that this is an Israeli uh uh part of this Israeli electronic warfare plan um and let's take a look at so so there was three major elements to this operation there was um unmanned aerial vehicles um and this is what we're looking at here this is the um the the shahad Drone um this is a fiberglass U drone propeller um La uh propeller flown rocket launched um uh and it's a fiberglass uh drone and so that makes the radar and the Heat Signature off of this um are very low and so they're difficult to uh track on radar and so the GPS the dropping of the uh GPS systems and the Russian GPS system was an attempt by Israel to drop these drones before um they entered Israeli airspace they also used fighter jets to shoot down these drones um and that was what they used um uh in an alliance we we there's still a lot about this operation that we don't know U but according to Israeli figures there was 350 missiles and drones and 185 of them uh were these uh shahad drones um and we'll we'll see those in in action uh coming up um the main targets just to give you the main targets of this operation were um pretty clearly three targets um there was a signals intelligence base in the Golan which is uh run by unit 8200 that Paul just talked about um and then two desert bases uh in the neev desert U naaim Air Base which is the home of the f35s um and it's also neim is the air the air base that the Americans bring weapons airlifts uh that have happened since October 7th um That Base uh takes those airlifts and also Ramon Air Base um further south um in the neev and that's a major um Israeli base in the South um and so those are the the three targets they're very symbolic targets they're well-defended targets and they're targets that are in the desert um and so this is Iranian attack um did not Target City um it did not um Target uh builtup areas in Israel it targeted um apparently uh pretty clearly the Israelis showed footage of hits on neeva team Airbase um and so uh Iran used three uh tools they use these sha head drones and if we look at the next one they use these cruise missiles those sha head drones are about the the speed of a car they're about the cost of a car um and they fly low and slow and so the launching of the attack um the Israelis had many hours to prepare uh their defenses these are the cruise missiles that were launched the Israelis say 36 of these cruise missiles were launched um and then there was 110 ballistic missiles we don't know we can't verify these numbers uh Iran didn't say how many um were fired and of course this is a there's a lot of information Warfare about this operation um a lot of fake videos um U by both sides sides um and by the public in general um and and so there's still a lot to learn about this operation but the Israelis said 350 missiles and drones and the Israelis said 60 tons of explosives um these these cruise missiles are faster it's a jet engine powered um and it's treated essentially like an unmanned uh jet um and so these Dron uh these uh cruise missiles um were were met by uh and treated by uh as as uh essentially as fighter jets both the drones and the cruise missiles were shot down um by fighter jets so you had fighter jets all over the Middle East uh shooting these um relatively cheap um $50,000 for a sha head uh drone um compared to the you know the the f35s that shot the the drones down is the most expensive wet the costliest weapons platform that's ever been developed and so um we know that there was a massive um economic imbalance in this attack Iran using um very cheap uh for the most part uh very cheap weapons and the israelies responding with uh incredibly expensive weapons um but there was uh a 16 this is a 16-minute attack by the time it All Shook out and the day began um with Iran capturing uh seizing and Israeli uh Linked containership In The Straits of hormo so um this is the uh the third part of the operation um was these ballistic missiles and this is something that's really interesting from Iran because this was the first test of their missile systems um on this scale um and you can see here this is a diagram of the um Iranian missile program they have 16 different types of missiles that could have been used for this operation um that range between 700 and 2,000 kilometers um and um and the ballistic missiles so the the the drones took uh six or seven hours to fly across the Middle East the cruise missiles took a couple of hours and these ballistic missiles take minutes um and these missiles are uh large missiles with um serious Warheads um their Precision guide um missiles these are the um Iranian response to the smart bomb they can carry 500 uh kilograms of explosives um and as you can see on that diagram they're up to 20 meters tall they're a massive a massive missile um and so the Israelis said just to repeat that they said 185 of the shahad drones 36 of the cruise missiles and 110 um ballistic missiles and what we know about the ballistic missiles um is that they were the the core of the missile um the the the the evidence for missiles that we saw was the uh Imad missile which was developed in 2016 um and um is a Precision guided weapon um it's a liquid propell uh propellant and it also has maneuverable re-entry Vehicles so it's able to uh be aimed precisely and that's what we saw on the t uh the targeting of the is base that it was a precise uh hit the the weapons hit where they wanted to hit and so these ballistic missiles are fired up in a in a large Arc um out of the atmosphere um the cruise missiles go um higher uh than the drones and the drones are down low to the ground so um these three um operate together um and the idea is that um you flood Israeli air defenses and tie up their fighter jets with the cheap um drones um and cruise missiles cheaper um cruise missiles and then you follow up with the ballistic missiles and this is the part of the operation that is really um I think the demonstrative part of the operation is that Iran could have fired many many more times um the ballistic missiles that they did fire um and they could have uh targeted places in Israel with Precision they didn't Target cities they didn't Target internet tent um they didn't Target uh children on a playground um they they targeted very symbolic very well-defended desert bases um and they struck them and we know that they struck them Israel admitted that they struck them they haven't said um full details of what happened we know that at least five hit each of the bases um and so let's take a look here I I'll show you what it looks like when each of these uh Vehicles is launched so let's do number eight here tomorrow these are the Shah heads um they're launched in three different ways they're launched off a rack um there you see it out of a canister um and also vehicle born there so these are able to be launched from three different systems they're that's the rocket boost that I told you about so they fire out with a rocket and then the propeller kicks in um and the propeller um is what um uh carries it so it's extremely slow in military terms and that was one of the things about the operation on Saturday was that it took a long time to develop we knew that the missile we knew that these uh drones were on their way for many hours um um the uh and and we all the so the Americans had the opportunity to um reposition their defenses to put together their Alliance and then to shoot these down and they um what we from what we understand most of these were shot down these were shot down outside of Israeli airspace over Jordan um and over Iraq and Syria uh in particular and if we look at the next uh one number nine you can see the ballistic missile launches these are obviously very significant weapons here um and if Iran was attempting to do damage to Israel um or to um escalate this war we would have seen more of the ballistic missiles um as you can see there's the um the uh liquid fuel propellant launch um of the Imad uh missiles if we look at number 10 here we can watch the Drone flying over um Iraq you can see the the delta wing there of the shahad Drone um flying low over Iraq um and you could hear them and there's a lot of video footage um uh uh from Iraq of these uh flying low um over Iraq and these are so these $50,000 fiberglass drones um were being hunted by uh tens of millions of dollar uh fighter jets from five different countries um from what we know right now it appears that the British um the uh jordanians the Americans and the Israelis were shooting them down it sounds like the French were part of the patrol and then I believe what we know about the Saudis is that they were doing aerial refueling um of these uh of the fighter jets and so you again a massive disparity in what uh what the cost of the launch versus the cost of the intercepts um the Israelis use a missile defense array um and so the fighter jets and the electronic warfare were the first part and then they have the arrow system which is for the ballistic missiles um and then people are probably familiar with the Iron Dome system that's the system for short range um um and medium range um projectiles that are that we'll we'll talk more about those uh here coming up so let's look at the the missiles over the West Bank here um because we have footage from the West Bank of the ballistic missiles um entering Israeli airspace so you can see the Iranian missiles are traveling downwards in this video the Israeli interceptors are traveling up in this video we're looking at just red streaks in the sky I kind of promised you I'd do a video breakdown of which direction the red streaks were going and if you see the red streaks uh turn into a big ball of fire on the ground it means that they've landed um there's not a lot to break down in these but you can see that there's a lot of misses and the Israelis were bragging I mean they're they're they said 99% which was just absurd and then the Western media picked that up and that was the headline for the whole day the numbers that the Israelis gave didn't suggest 99% um and this video doesn't appear to be showing 99% it looks like um you can see interceptions when the upcoming uh red flare hits the down comom red flare you have an interception and there's clearly those you also see the arrow system um above the atmosphere blowing up that was one there that you just saw um intercepting the missiles uh in the atmosphere but it's clear uh above the atmosphere but it's clear that there's many of these missiles that are um Landing in this footage so we we we don't know the targets were military bases and so the information control of the Israeli sensor is basically total um but this is the stage of the attack that is the demonstrative part about it it's Iran showing that they have the capability um to do this this it's Israel testing its Alliance its electronic warfare and its now tens of billions of dollars air defense system um that they have and so this was a real test for both sides it was a test of the Iranian missile program that um you know for the last 20 years the Iranians uh say that they had the sixth largest missile program um in the world um Americans have tens of thousands of troops in the Middle East that are all Targets for these because this is a about it's about 12200 kilometers from Iran to um to these Targets in the neev desert um and so this is footage from the West Bank um and I I guess I can leave it to people to do the math on this but that sure doesn't look like 99% interception rate um to me and when you have uh missiles as sophisticated um and as powerful as these ballistic missiles that Iran is sending um it gives Israel an idea of what would happen if this war were to actually escalate um I think the Iranians were very careful with this attack um they telegraphed the attack they allowed the Americans to prepare uh with the Israelis for the defense and it sounds like the Americans downed most of the um the drones it wasn't uh it wasn't the majority of them weren't shot down by Israeli fighter jets um and these are the air defense systems that Israel has bragged about for many many years um and and clearly some of the Miss let's let's look at number 12 um because this is what was this is footage that we're looking at here is from Hebron from halil in the south of the West Bank but if we listen to this one do we have audio on this [Music] one so you can hear Palestinians underneath these missiles um clearly don't believe they don't believe they're the target of these missiles and you can hear Palestinians in the West Bank here this is from nablas footage from nablas um of Palestinians cheering um the uh Saturday night missile strike uh by Iran so I I just wanted to bring that we showed you that on Sunday but I just wanted to bring that to uh to people's attention now let's look at number 13 here tomorrow because um uh yeah I don't really have to do much of a breakdown but like I said when you see the red streak turn into a ball of flame um you're looking at direct hits I believe we're looking at hits there on Ramone Air Base um uh and the Israelis admitted to five hits on each Ramon and neeva team but um again the numbers that we saw in the sky look look higher than that so I'm not sure if in the coming days we'll hear more um I'll bring you whatever updates but you can clearly see those strikes hitting the ground we got one more of those that show it from three different angles that Middle East I put together if we do 13B tomorrow um you can see those strikes in the neg again on neim airbase and Ramon Airbase neim the base where the f-35s are stationed um and the uh Americans and Israelis said that a C130 cargo plane which is the weapons transfer plane um was hit and you can see there's the Israeli air defenses going up in that footage you can see um that being launched the Israelis and Americans launched from warships the Israelis used um their seed uh sea dome which is their Iron Dome mounted on their warships the is uh American Navy ships um fired uh anti-missile systems um and so this is sort of the future um arriving and you can see there's the clear strike making it through um and followed up by the second strike and then there's a third one um and so these numbers don't really add up and I think that's something that of course Israel has been consistent about since the beginning uh of this war lying about what's happening covering up what's happening uh obfuscating what's happening um you know not fully acknowledging what's happening when they do acknowledge um and and so we can see from this clearly multiple strikes hitting those bases and the B bases are Precision targets so these were not fired at cities they were not fired at populated areas um and it cost the Israelis more than a billion dollars um for the 16 minutes um of air defense which was a fraction of Iran's capabilities and the full Israeli capabilities that we're seeing on display here so um the uh I guess we'll talk about it more in the discussion after about Israel's response to this but this demonstration by Iran um the fact that they're willing to do this and then the fact that they're able to successfully do this um as I think a a really um yeah I mean it's a really strong development in um in Israel's impunity um their ability to attack Iran and Iranian allies um without any response appears to uh have wrapped up with this operation thanks for watching this video please subscri subscribe to our YouTube channel hit like leave a comment these engagements help us with the YouTube algorithm and it helps us to get around Silicon Valley censorship as much as possible it does make a difference you can also support our journalism by going to electronic in.net and clicking on donate now thank you