Hizballah rockets, drones attack key military and intelligence bases, with Jon Elmer

and we will go to Lebanon next from there Ally did a great job of covering the Iran missile attack so we will uh take it right to Lebanon where more than 3500 bombs dropped on uh so-called Hezbollah positions we know that they're all kinds of civilians caught up in this um in all these operations Hezbollah this week admitted that 1500 of its Fighters were um were wounded in the pager and walkietalkie operation we know that the number of total number uh of injured in those operations was in the 3000s so we're talking about more than 50% of the pager hits were civilians not Fighters um and the Israelis this week talked about their delimited in incursion into the Border areas um up in the Galilee Panhandle and you can see here the strikes are all over they're all over Lebanon this week um and I just want to say to the nasella uh point it's important to frame nella's assassination in the context that the Israelis put it in and that is in a history 40 years uh of defeats consistent string of defeats organized by the fighters that he led right from the beginning going back to the 1982 Invasion when they took out the the early Hezbollah fighters of Islamic Jihad took out um the US Embassy twice they wiped out the CIA station the entire Middle East station was wiped out um going into the Iraq War the CIA talked about how that attack in the 1980s left them with no intelligence for the Iraq War because they lost a Generation Um of CIA at of CIA agents and knowledge and institutional knowledge in those operations um they also captured the CIA director uh in or the station Chief uh in Beirut in another attack they hit the Marine core barracks and killed 240 drove the Americans out uh of Lebanon with that attack we They carried out multiple car and truck bomb attacks on shabbach Israel's internal security that had set up in South Lebanon um famous attacks U that really launched the Islamic resistance in many ways um there's the aneria attack where uh Israeli Special Forces in 1997 under the command of yev Galant uh came across on a secret assassin ation mission that hasbalah Counter Intelligence caught and wiped out the Special Forces Naval Commandos that on that raid in anaria something that's stuck in the uh Israelis craw right till the um 2000 fleeing of Lebanon which we've talked about on this program but involved literally running away from their positions leaving their computers on um no more way to articulate a defeat than leaving your helmet hung up on the wall and just turn around and run down the hill which is literally what the Israelis did they ran down the hill and the palestin and the uh Lebanese uh in The Villages took went up to hiam a famous torture prison took rocks and broke into the prison and liberated the prisoners these pictures were all over the world they galvanized um support for the resistance for Hezbollah of course um and then there's the 2006 War where hasbalah Begins the war by cap by crossing the border cap uring Israeli soldiers to exchange for Lebanese prisoners who did not get returned because the 2000 um evacuation um fleeing by the Israelis um there was no negotiation so they didn't return prisoners so hasbalah crossed the border to capture prisoners sparked the 2006 war that everybody admits the Israelis Blue Ribbon panel admitted it was a defeat uh us War colleges were even more harsh on how big a defeat it was that the Israeli military wasn't ready for the hardened fighters of Hezbollah that had been training for this battle that was in 2006 okay we have that just takes you to 2006 in the Years intervening Israel uh was unable to do what it had done in Lebanon for the two decades before that um and when this war started immediately nasrala opens up a northern front um in support of Gaza and that Northern front liquidates uh Israel communities from the north creates for the first time in Israel's history a buffer zone inside Israel the security Zone as it was called in Lebanon is inside Israel for the first time people like 60 minutes when I showed that clip of uh lesie stall from 60 Minutes going into the Northern Communities they're talking about humiliation defeat the loss of the north they've given up all this land they're never going to move back to there uh the Juan units on the border um make it so that they'll never live there uh on those borders again so it's just victory after victory that hezbollah's organization led by him as a military commander um just inflicted on the Israelis year after year covering four decades uh before this event and um the chief of staff or the trajectory and and through that there had been assassinations of other key leaders right imag M imag mugia was assassinated in 2008 Mustafa baddin in 2013 kasum sulamani in 2020 but the trajectory of this organization hasn't changed by those those significant losses particularly Imad mnia Hajj radwan who the radwan forces special forces that Israel hasn't yet encountered but will encounter in their ground Invasion are named after he was a devastating loss to the organization in in 2008 particularly to their military um and the trajectory of the group doesn't change from those losses um the trajectory Remains the Same and that's something that nasrala pointed out all the time in all of his speeches because they have commemorative speeches as part of the uh popular education is to teach people about the history of the resistance and nesa took that very seriously and did lectures constantly on annual basis um recognizing the martyrs that had come before and so um this happened this assassination of nasala happened at a time that Israel couldn't have imagined where is where the United States would allow Israel to do whatever it wants that it could carry out its Zionist fantasy of destroying Gaza and invading Lebanon and attacking Nela and halevi said it we need to continue attacking Hezbollah he said we have been waiting for this opportunity for years so they see this as a moment um to just go wild and that's what you're seeing and that's what we have been absorbing over the last two weeks of shocking events um that uh that Israel has inflicted um that will be um humbled by a ground Invasion into South Lebanon and we won't make predictions again but uh we saw the fighting in 2006 and there's 18 years of preparation for this battle um from both both sides admittedly Israel's Intelligence on Hezbollah is a lot more significant than it is um on Kasam we haven't seen any of these kind of operations successful on Kasam they've kept their internal Network completely sealed and there'll be a lot more to know about the details of the Nella assassination and how it happened uh in the coming days but it's not just hasbalah leadership that's being taken out the other day they took out Israel took out the top two commanders of the Ali Mustafa brigades of the popular front for the liberation of Palestine and they also killed uh assassinated with his family uh the leader of Hamas in Lebanon so these border uh incursions that sound like they barely got across the barbu fence um are the first face face face-to-face battles but I'm going to show you this week because I'm going to bring up everything that happened in the last week uh even though events have overtaken some of these things just to understand how we got to this position and to continue covering this on a week-by-week basis next week we'll probably be having footage of face-to-face battles but if we look at number 20 here tomorrow um the week began with uh red alert sirens all over uh Tel Aviv millions of Israelis two some two point something million Israelis fled to shelters um because the gelot mosad and unit 8200 headquarters is at the gelo um intelligence base uh outside tele Ali talked a little bit about that because they were the target of the ballistic missile attack by Iran um so they uh you can see number 21 Hezbollah showed us the missile they they're upgrading they're showing us the next tier they showed us last week the the tier before this now they're showing the next tier of their ballistic missile they're calling it the kader one it looks to be a modified fata 11 10 which is a Precision guided uh heavy payload um rocket and they're describing here uh 500 kilogram Warhead with 190 kilometer range and we need to keep those kilometer ranges in mind when Israel says they're doing a pinpoint or a delimited is the word they're using uh operation on the border as if that that will stop rocket fire that's not the way it works the Rockets are not fired from the barbwire Border in the case of this particular cader weapon uh you have 190 kilometer range so you can fire deep into Israel from a firing position that's deep inside Lebanon and as the war goes on and as troops if that they do move into the southern area uh to the Border area I I'll believe it when I see it if they get past the Border area um but they're still going to have these Rockets firing over their head into the communities behind them and that happened all week um so this is a Precision guided weapon Hezbollah says um and it can maneuver in Flight with Precision so if these kind if this level of of munition were to be pulled out Hezbollah hasn't pulled them out in on mass yet um the Israelis expected 4,000 rockets and missiles on the first day of a war it's not clear if this would be counted as the first day of War but Hezbollah has the capacity to do that and they're choosing at this point to slowly escalate and as nasala said they don't want Total War they don't want their countries destroyed and their people killed and famously after the 2006 war nasala was asked if he regretted um the operation that caused all that destruction in Lebanon and he said if I had known that cost then yes like I would not have done it again he's a very popular leader for decisions like that not not taking um the destruction of a war and in throwing it on your people because it works to um bolster your uh organization he's a true popular leader grown from the people and responding to the people in a way that nobody wants open War nobody wants Total War you try to operate in all ways possible before Total War and that's what we're seeing from Hezbollah and we've seen that kind of patience um all this week they've been firing 300 Rockets which is double the amount of the peak of the 2006 War um but nothing like what they could do if we look at number 22 these rocket attacks um they're going to show you the the placement of these rocket attacks 28 km deep uh into Israeli territory hitting these bases and again they're hitting these with the F1 and F2 rockets that I showed you on the last show that have 70 to 100 kilometers range um so these Rockets can also be fired from well behind uh the Border area that Israel says that if they have pinpoint operations that the rocket fire will allow people to return to the north which is not true so this this is a this is a war to separate the Gaza and Lebanon fronts the very thing nasala said that they would not do um and so Israel's attempting that here we're seeing um consistently 300 rocket attack rocket attacks uh each day over the past week and the Readiness of the fighters um beyond the assassinations and their commanders um of the founding generation it's significant but Hezbollah is trained in a different way than to be beholden to a centralized leadership they fight small unit tactics um decentralized and their leadership their overall leadership the commanders that were their commanders for 40 years are significantly important leadership but they don't change the Readiness of the organization because there's multiple levels of command um and it's devastating loss um but the force Readiness is not impacted by these assassinations as shocking as they are to lose entire basically the entire uh leadership command people talk about decapitation that the leadership was decapitated you could possibly say that the top Echelon of their command was decapitated but in the in a meaningful sense of the word decapitation would mean that once you've cut the head off the rest of the organization doesn't exist and that's not what happens these rocket attacks they come out Hezbollah reports them in field reports they come out every single day 10 12 14 16 qualitative operations rocket barges um of the type that we're seeing here hitting key institutions uh military installations um you can see the settler cameras that Hezbollah likes to um likes to add to these videos to show you some of the places where they landed and because we have the military sensor let's do 23 and these attacks um the attacks that they have with stood um over this the 3500 bombs dropped on Hezbollah targets uh all over Lebanon particularly on their command and control and Rocket uh Platforms in the South the uh Israeli military says that they've taken out 10% um of hezbollah's capacity so we're talking about a war that is 362 days old um and they're only at 10% and that 10% that's above surface Rockets they're not able to reach their underground uh rocket facilities that we uh have shown on previous shows so the 10% uh of 150 to 200,000 missile Arsenal uh organization is minimal and a portion of that 10% has been uh distributed throughout communities in Northern Israel H as well and on number 24 number 24 is a a qualitative operation this is Hezbollah versus sheet 13 flotilla 13 this is Naval Commandos uh of the Israeli military they're they were previously clandestine secret unit as Bala made it not that by showing exactly where their base is here and we saw it in their Drone footage earlier in the summer when they flew over it and showed us everything that works so this is a drone swarm that hasz Bal is firing here multiple uh drones being launched here um at the flotilla 13 base at the Special Forces base um these are ababil oneway attack drones uh we've seen these be used a number of times Hezbollah has half a dozen different types of drones that are explosive Laden one-way attack drones that they use on um these different targets military targets Hezbollah is targeting military targets the only civilian targets that Hezbollah has hit is evacuated um settlements and they have destroyed evacuating evacuated settlements in the manner in which the villages in South Lebanon have been destroyed but if you'll ever if you'll notice they never say in the media how many civilians have been killed by attacks from Lebanon and it's because the number is something like six in a year asella is not targeting civilians they're targeting military bases and that's what we see over and over in these operations um if they were targeting civilians you could have death tolls in the tens of thousands based on their rocket Arsenal um and the population density where you to rain down these rockets on civilian um you know effectively to Terror bomb like the Israelis do bomb civilians in the hopes that those civilians will break away from their military leadership which is what Israel does to the resistance the resistance doesn't do that to Israel it doesn't Target their civilians uh to make the War uh unpopular and number 25 here this is a base uh the mcge Airfield at the um being targeted here with f 1 two and three rockets Mido is the the intersection of Armageddon um but it's also the house the home of a Israeli Air Force Airfield Logistics Airfield that they use as a backup this is just North this is around aula it's just north of U Janine in the West Bank um 60 kilometers from the border are these targets so these targets are 60 kilm from the border they can fire them from 40 k inside Lebanon so Israel's not penetrating 40 kilm inside Lebanon anytime soon so uh it's not clear that these operations that Israel is carrying out right now and suffering such significant defeats already uh are going to attempt to to try to regain territory at that depth and as long as that's not happening the rocket Fire won't stop and the Villager the communities in the north won't go home and as Nala said in his final speech in fact it'll make the war less likely the war will make it less likely that israelies return to their homes and when they if they do return to their homes they'll return to destroyed homes um that are the product of this war that Hezbollah has carried on so the midu military airport is a Runway an airport used by the Air Force for emergency and Logistics The Amos base is the main transportation and Logistics support hub for the northern region so that's feeding their troops uh uh with their supplies in the North and then the third target was the main Factory for explosive materials in the Zionist en entity it is 60 kilometers from the border so they're targeting military bases uh Logistics airfields and and ammo ammo uh production factories and we know that they have this intelligence because they showed us it in the Drone footage that they've put over and if anything they have been continually disciplined throughout the week these operations didn't change at all if you only followed the war through field reports from the Israelis and from Hezbollah but particularly from Hezbollah you wouldn't have noticed the Calamity that was happening the catastrophe that was happening uh in in in Beirut to their leadership to their senior most leadership their most respected founding leadership that have all of those victories I listed at the beginning um notched on their belts um you can't see any impact on the Readiness of the ability of of the Fighting Force in the in in Hezbollah they fight in small units decentralized and talk today from the early incursion is that radwan forces weren't even involved in the battle today um that cost uh the Israelis at least eight uh killed soldiers and a number of destroyed um marava tanks apparently um that was just their territorial defense it wasn't radwan Special Forces coming in uh on that so um one more here 27 is um is a rocket Stitch of attacks on Northern bases um and these happened just the other day these are phallic 2 um 300 millimeter um rockets and katucha Rockets grad rockets and these are fired in barges as I've shown you before between 20 8 and 40 depending on the um on the unit launcher uh one after another and these are not intercepted um despite the iron Dom's uh vaunted record as Ali pointed out in the uh in the Iran segment the uh the story of the number of these Rockets uh to be shot down versus the number that are fired is um wildly different than the Israeli estimates um of course we remember after the first uh true promise operation by Iran when Israel said that it was 99% effective this time they said most and we just watched in Ali's video uh dozens scores of them uh Landing clearly Landing certainly some interceptions um but part of the Iranian attack was to Target the radar stations that work the arrow and David sling the medium and long range missile defense capabilities that Israel has um so they were targeted as part of that operation that also targeted the Mad headquarters the neam air base the uh taln air base that the fighter jets took off for the assassination uh of Nella a brutal assassination a brutal War crime 80 more than 80 bombs 2,000 pound bombs daisy chain together with bunker Busters and hitting the Target in the same spot with four separate rounds four double tap rounds uh on that strike so that is the resistance report from Lebanon [Music]